| global events. The team is always on the look-out for
historic similarities and differences that might suggest whether a past
pattern is likely to repeat under the current set of circumstances.
Some examples include an analysis, three years ago, which tracked secular
and cyclical bull and bear markets since the 1920s and rationalized the
impact of demography, technology developments, and politics on current and
future market behavior. Another analysis covered
the effects of the simultaneous advance of synchronous technologies such as
the Pentium processor, Windows 95, and the Netscape browser that propelled
the explosive growth of the Internet, Telecom and Computer industries and,
eventually created the "super-bull" market (and “bubble”) of the late
nineties. Other analysis of existing data and information includes the
collapse of pricing caused by the commoditization of the cellular telephone;
the over-supply in the fiber-optic industry brought on by quantum leaps in
technology; the ripple effect in the banking industry of bad debt caused by
the collapses of Enron and WorldCom; and, the value of asset allocation and
asset blends on percent return among Real Estate, Bonds, S&P 500 Index,
Managed Futures, Precious Metals and Collectibles. Other areas of study and
analysis have included subject matter such as: “The Impact of Presidential
Political Parties on Market Performance;” “The January Effect,” and “The
Summer Rally and the Summer Fade.” The work mentioned has been designed and
packaged for internal use only. The Advisor uses the analysis ultimately to
help educate trading decisions and in a continuing effort to adjust his
strategies to evolving market conditions.
Our
research team includes investment professionals with many years of
experience in both stock and futures markets. They aim to understand market behavior. They’re experience brings insight into what works and what
doesn’t in different markets and market cycles. Their knowledge helps the
Advisor in technical pattern recognition necessary to initiate certain
trades. But only a seasoned and disciplined trader will be able to correctly
apply pattern confirmation in a timely way, before the potential is gone and
then, when necessary, have the discipline to remove the trade quickly should
the pattern change from expectation.
THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS. ONE
MUST BE AWARE THAT THE POSSIBILITY OF UNLIMITED LOSS EXISTS IN
WRITING OPTIONS. PEOPLE CAN AND DO LOSE MONEY.
THERE IS A RISK
OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS. ONE MUST BE AWARE THAT
THE POSSIBILITY OF UNLIMITED LOSS EXISTS IN WRITING OPTIONS.
PEOPLE CAN AND DO LOSE MONEY. THE MARKET HAS OFTEN ALREADY
ALLOWED FOR SEASONAL CHANGES. EVEN IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY
OCCURS, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES
AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE
RESULTS. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS
IN THE PAST, OR WILL IN THE FUTURE, ACHIEVE PROFITS USING THESE
RECOMMENDATIONS. |